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Once a darling of foreign investors, Ethiopia faces a complex web of challenges hindering its economic growth. Despite ambitious reforms and a promising future, the country’s investment landscape is marred by a series of setbacks.

Why has the much-anticipated influx of foreign investment yet to materialize? How have recent policy changes impacted domestic investors? What role does political instability play in deterring investment? And what can be done to revitalize Ethiopia’s economic potential, emphasizing the need for stable policies and peace for sustainable economic growth?

This in-depth analysis by EBR’s Munir Shemsu delves into these questions, examining the intricate interplay of factors that have shaped Ethiopia’s investment climate. From the impact of the war in Tigray to the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, this article sheds light on the multifaceted obstacles that impede Ethiopia’s progress, highlighting the need for a comprehensive solution.


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Ethiopia’s Banking Sector Navigates Uncharted Waters

Ethiopia’s banking sector is currently grappling with a severe liquidity crunch, causing significant distress to individuals and businesses. The effects are palpable, with delayed transfers, restricted cash withdrawals, and challenges in securing loans becoming the norm.

Why are banks struggling with liquidity? How have the government’s recent economic reforms impacted the banking sector? What are the real-world implications for businesses and consumers? And what steps are being taken to address the crisis? These are the pressing questions that need answers.

This in-depth analysis by EBR’s Munir Shemsu explores these questions, examining the root causes of the liquidity crisis, the challenges banks face, and the potential consequences for the broader economy. The liquidity crisis in the banking sector is not just a problem for individual banks or their customers. It has the potential to significantly disrupt the entire economy, affecting businesses, consumers, and investors alike.


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The Uphill Battle of Dealing With Historical Baggage of Inefficiency, Corruption, and Political Interference

Ethiopia’s State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) are currently in the midst of a significant transformation. The government’s ambitious reforms, which encompass privatization, enhanced governance, and financial discipline, have the potential to reshape these entities into efficient and profitable organizations. However, this journey is not without its challenges, including addressing legacy issues, ensuring social equity, and navigating complex political dynamics. The results of these reforms will determine whether Ethiopia’s SOEs will experience a renaissance or a decline. EBR’s Munir Shemsu reports on this pivotal moment in Ethiopia’s economic history.


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Balancing Revenue Goals, Citizen Concerns

The Ethiopian Ministry of Revenue’s aggressive pursuit of tax revenue to address its widening budget deficit and ambitious development goals has sparked significant concerns. The recent introduction of new taxes and tariffs, coupled with the expansion of the Value-Added Tax (VAT) system to previously excluded sectors, has raised questions about their potential impact on the economy and the welfare of citizens.

While the government aims to broaden the tax base and improve tax collection efficiency, critics argue that the rapid pace of reforms and the singular focus on revenue targets could inadvertently harm economic growth and exacerbate inequality. This raises a pressing question: How can Ethiopia balance its fiscal needs with the imperative of fostering a sustainable and equitable economic environment?
The delicate balance between revenue generation and economic well-being is a complex challenge. That’s why the government needs to carefully consider the potential consequences of its tax policies to ensure that they contribute to fiscal sustainability and promote long-term economic growth and social equity. EBR’s Munir Shemesu reports.


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Ethiopia’s recent policy to increase electricity tariffs, while essential for long-term energy sustainability, might become a double-edged sword. While the reform aims to attract investment and improve infrastructure, it also threatens to exacerbate economic hardships for many low-income households and businesses. However, it’s important to note that these reforms also hold the potential to significantly improve the country’s energy sector, paving the way for a more sustainable and efficient future. A careful navigation of this delicate balancing act is urgent, as the benefits of increased tariffs to improve investment needs to outweigh the opportunity costs to consumers. EBR’s Munir Shemsu navigates the intricate issue and offers this report, urging stakeholders to understand and support these crucial reforms.


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Foreign Banks Entry, Domestic Mergers

The Ethiopian financial sector has undergone significant transformations in re-cent years, including the proliferation of interest-free banks, new conventional banks, and digital financial services. The government’s decision to allow foreign banks to operate in the country for the first time in five decades while also seeking to strengthen domestic banks presents a potential for increased competition and enhanced efficiency. EBR’s Munir Shemesu investigates if these changes could bring about a more robust and dynamic financial sector, as seen in other African countries that have managed similar transformations.


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Franco Valuta & the Path to Market Liberalisation

Ethiopia’s recent liberalisation of its foreign exchange regime has significantly changed its economic landscape. One of the most notable developments is the expanded use of Franco Valuta imports.

This scheme, which allows importers to settle their obligations with foreign currency outside the domestic banking system, has been controversial. While it offers businesses greater flexibility and potentially relieves pressure on the central bank’s foreign exchange reserves, concerns remain about its potential impact on inflation, parallel exchange markets, and illicit financial flows, reports EBR’s Munir Shemsu.


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Ethiopia’s Economic Dilemma

Addis Ababa’s ambitious beautification projects have undeniably transformed the city, creating a more visually appealing urban landscape. Yet, these aesthetic improvements raise critical questions about their economic feasibility and impact on the city’s residents.

While the gardens, pedestrian walkways, cycle lanes and recreational centres undoubtedly enhance the city’s quality of life, they come at a high cost. With soaring inflation, poverty, and a struggling economy, allocating a large amount of resources to such projects raises concerns about their prioritization. Critics argue that investing in the economy’s productive sector is more crucial to addressing supply-side constraints that have plagued Ethiopia for decades. City residents also ask about the fairness of the running water shortages in many neighbourhoods while the city greening projects enjoy all-day watering.


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Ethiopia has boldly embarked on a radical economic transformation. The recent liberalisation of the foreign exchange market, a cornerstone of broader reforms, has sent shockwaves through the nation. Questions abound as the Birr plummets and prices soar. Will this drastic shift unleash economic growth or plunge the country into deeper turmoil?

EBR’s Munir Shemsu dissects the complexities of Ethiopia’s economic overhaul. He delves into the government’s ambitious plans, the challenges businesses and individuals face, and the potential long-term implications. Is this a risky gamble or a strategic masterstroke?




Ethiopian Business Review | EBR is a first-class and high-quality monthly business magazine offering enlightenment to readers and a platform for partners.



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